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  usa today week 6 football picks
Posted by: FabioIneks - 02-07-2021, 08:21 PM - Forum: My Forum - No Replies

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NFL picks against the spread, Week 6: Will the Chiefs rebound against the Texans?
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It’s Week 6 of the NFL season, which kicks off on Thursday with the New York Giants facing the New England Patriots, so it’s time for our weekly look at the point spreads in order to help you win some money.
Last week, Charles Curtis went 8-7 in Week 5 picks (42-35 overall) and Steven Ruiz went 7-8 (41-34 overall) . We now go to each of them for comments before their picks.
Charles: LET’S GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! We’re on a roll here.
Steven : Another week, another loss to Charles. This is unacceptable and will be rectified promptly.
(All bets courtesy of BetMGM)
Giants at Patriots (-16.5)
Charles: Patriots.
Too easy. Even if Daniel Jones had all of his weapons healthy, the Pats are just too talented. Plus, Tom Brady is going to absolutely shred the Big Blue defense.
Steven: Patriots.
Been riding with the Patriots all season despite these big lines and it has served me well. The awful Giants secondary should allow the Patriots passing game, which has been a little to horizontal for my tastes, to break out with some big plays. And Bill Belichick vs. a rookie quarterback is a mismatch.
Panthers (-1.5) at Buccaneers.
Charles: Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay’s run defense continues to be a revelation, and while I like what Kyle Allen has done thus far, I think this is the game where it all catches up to him. Bucs by a field goal.
Steven: Buccaneers.
The Buccaneers will do a better job of containing Christian McCaffrey than the Jaguars did, and that will force Kyle Allen to win this game on his own. That won’t happen.
Bengals at Ravens (-11.5)
Charles: Bengals.
I have gone back and forth about this pick like ten times. The Ravens SHOULD trounce an awful Bengals team … but I can’t escape the idea that Andy Dalton is going to throw like 60 times for a backdoor cover.
Steven: Ravens.
It’s been a while since we’ve seen this Ravens offense play well, so they’re playing the Bengals at the right time. Lamar Jackson has a big game and the Ravens roll.
Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports.
Seahawks (-1.5) at Browns.
Charles: Seahawks.
How can you pick the Browns after what we’ve seen from them this season? I’ll go with Wilson, the leading MVP candidate thus far.
Steven: Seahawks.
This is a big test for Seattle, but with Russell Wilson playing the way he is — and Baker Mayfield playing the way he is — I’m going with the Seahawks. I do, however, think that the Browns can take advantage of Seattle’s defense.
Saints at Jaguars (-1.5)
Charles: Saints.
I’ve ridden some Minshew Magic to a few wins here, but this is where the Saints defense clamps down and the offense does enough for a win.
Steven: Saints.
Without hesitation. Sean Payton is the better coach and will have his team ready to play. And that line is way too small.
Texans at Chiefs (-4.5)
Charles: Texans.
A shootout! And in that case, I take the points. Deshaun Watson might be able to keep up with Patrick Mahomes, who will rebound after the last couple of un-Mahomes-like performances.
Steven: Chiefs.
Defenses have had success playing man coverage against the Chiefs offense of late but I don’t think the Texans have the horses to employ such a game plan. Patrick Mahomes is going to have a big day.
Eagles at Vikings (-3)
Charles: Eagles.
Can I say push? No? Fine. I’ll say Philly wins this defensive battle 16-10.
Steven: Eagles.
The Eagles are starting to get rolling and just so happen to have the best run defense in the NFL. We know what this Vikings offense looks like when the running game isn’t going well … and it’s not good.
Redskins (-3.5) at Dolphins.
Charles: Redskins.
Adrian Peterson has a throwback game, and while Josh Rosen has had his moments recently, the Redskins find a way to force him into a few turnovers.
Steven: Dolphins.
Both of these teams are dumpster fires, but the Dolphins have some talent at the quarterback position. Miami has been feisty in first halves over its last couple of games. I can see them getting out to a big lead and holding on.
49ers at Rams (-3.5)
Charles: 49ers.
I don’t understand this line. The Niners are clearly the better team right now and the Rams just gave up 85 points over their last two contests.
Steven: 49ers.
The 49ers are the better team AND they’re getting points? This is a no-brainer for me. Los Angeles’ offensive line is struggling and we all saw what the Niners’ pass rush is capable of on Monday night.
Falcons (-2.5) at Cardinals.
Charles: Falcons.
Atlanta has been a huge disappointment but this is a game in which the Dirty Birds pile up the points.
Steven: Falcons.
I have ZERO confidence in this Falcons defense, but the Cardinals are not a good football team. On their days, the Falcons can closely resemble one.
(Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images)
Cowboys (-6.5) at Jets.
Charles: Cowboys.
Sam Darnold’s return will certainly help, but not against this Cowboys team that will win this one by double-digits.
Steven: Cowboys.
It’s going to take a few weeks for Sam Darnold to get back into the rhythm of the season. The Jets offense will struggle to put up points, while the Cowboys should have no problem getting over the 20-point mark.
Titans at Broncos (-2.5)
Charles: Titans.
I can’t get a read on this hot-and-cold Tennessee team, but this feels like a situation where the defense keeps things close and wins in the trenches.
Steven: Broncos.
The Broncos defense is starting play as we expected it to before the season, and it’s hard to trust an up-and-down Titans offense. Especially on the road in a tough environment.
Steelers at Chargers (-6)
Charles: Steelers.
I have been burned way too many times taking Los Angeles. Somehow, by some miracle, the Steelers will cover with … (SQUINTS) Devlin Hodges? I don’t know how.
Steven: Chargers.
The Chargers are banged up, but I still think they’re better than their record implies. Also, me or you might be starting at QB for Pittsburgh for all I know.
Lions at Packers (-3.5)
Charles: Packers.
The Lions are a tough team but I’ll put enough faith in the Packers’ run game and pass rush to cover.
Steven: Lions.
Matt Patricia has had two weeks to prepare for this inconsistent Packers offense. He’ll have a good plan cooked up and give Aaron Rodgers enough issues to cover the spread.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.


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Week 6 fantasy football studs, duds and sleepers: Tom Brady could have a huge game.
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Week 6 of the 2019 NFL season is here, with four teams (the Bulls, Bears, Colts and Raiders) off with byes.
As always, we’re here to help with your weekly decisions with our lineup advice. Each week, we give you the studs (players with plus matchups due to the defense they’re facing or their team situation), duds (players with tougher matchups or who are in muddled roster situations at the moment) and sleepers (a non-star you might consider starting who could be in for a big week).
Here’s what we’ve got for Week 6, and as always, good luck!!
Studs.
(AP Photo/Elise Amendola)
QB Tom Brady, New England Patriots.
Facing the Giants secondary in a short week is as close to a perfect matchup as you can get.
RB Mark Ingram, Baltimore Ravens.
The Ravens are going to run all day against the Bengals’ second-worst rushing defense. Also, do you realize Ingram hasn’t had a game lower than seven fantasy points this year? That’s quite a stable floor.
WR Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona Cardinals.
Considering how much Atlanta struggled against the Texans last week, I like the odds on Fitzgerald having a big afternoon at home.
TE Austin Hooper, Atlanta Falcons.
The ideal marriage of an already-good tight end with a very bad Cards D. He could have a career day.
Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports.
QB Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams.
The Niners, as they proved on Monday against the Browns, are legit. And that includes their passing defense, second in the league heading into Week 6. Even with all those Rams weapons to counter their NFC West rivals, I’m nervous.
RB Jordan Howard, Philadelphia Eagles.
A road date with the Vikings might mean a three-game scoring streak is over. Minnesota is a top-10 defense against opposing runners.
WR Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
This might be nerves from last week’s goose egg, but I’m worried the Panthers solid secondary will bounce back after last week’s performance against the Jags.
TE Evan Engram, New York Giants.
He might not even play. Even if he does, the Pats’ defense is elite, so you could look elsewhere at the TE position.
Sleepers.
Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports.
QB Gardner Minshew, Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Saints are middle of the road against the pass, and if the Jags find themselves down, he’s going to throw a lot.
RB Adrian Peterson, Washington Redskins.
This might be his only good matchup of the year. Miami allows a league-high 175.8 rushing yards per game.
WR Auden Tate, Cincinnati Bengals.
Three straight games with six-plus targets and he scored last week. I’m predicting some garbage-time magic.
TE Chris Herndon, New York Jets.
He’s back from suspension and Sam Darnold returns from mono. Hmmm …
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Super Bowl 55 Strategy Guide: Understanding the Kansas City Chiefs and how they play.
What a difference a year -- and a ring -- can make.
Prior to leading the Kansas City Chiefs to the Super Bowl championship last year, Andy Reid was seen as something of a bumbling also-ran destined to be somewhat forgotten in an era so thoroughly dominated by Bill Belichick.
Now he's the mastermind of one of the most exciting offenses we've ever witnessed, primed to win another Lombardi Trophy with a team that figures to compete for a spot in this game for years and years to come.
He won't have to deal with Belichick in Super Bowl 55, but there.
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Super Bowl 55 Strategy Guide: Understanding the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and how they play.
Bruce Arians is not a man who craves change.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers coach has essentially run the same offense, with minor tweaks, for decades now. Arians isn't much for quick-game and he asks his quarterbacks to make difficult throws regularly.
This year, by pairing Tom Brady with the league's most dynamic and deepest set of receiving options, he hit on a formula that propelled him to his first Super Bowl as a head coach.
While there's plenty of pressure on Arians -- since Brady and the offense may need to go score-for-score with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs -- most of.
How to watch Chiefs vs. Buccaneers, location, date & time, kickoff, what you need to know for Super Bowl 2021.
The Kansas City Chiefs will meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the Super Bowl that will take place this weekend on Sunday, February 7th from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, Florida.
If you're looking for the "in the know" information you've come to the right place, we have you covered with everything you need to know about Super Bowl LV this weekend. When Will Super Bowl LV Be Played? Super Bowl Sunday is on February 4rd, 2021. What channel is the Super Bowl on this year? CBS will broadcast this year's Super Bowl, they'll have Jim Nantz and Tony Romo on.


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Giants vs. Washington: Week 6 staff picks and predictions.
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The New York Giants (0-5) will take on the Washington Football Team (1-4) this Sunday at MetLife Stadium in their sixth game of the 2020 regular season.
Experts are leaning heavily toward the Giants this week — 7:3 — with most of those expecting a one-score game.
How does the Giants Wire staff see this Week 6 battle shaking out? Here’s a look at our picks and score predictions:
Dan Benton: Giants 20, Washington 17.
Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports.
Call me a big fat liar. I know I said I wouldn’t pick the Giants until they won a game, but… Here I am.
The team that reaches the end zone first may be the victor, so it’s a legitimate coin flip. Neither team is powerful offensively, but the Giants do seem to have a slight edge on defense. That may be what saves them in what’s certain to be another ugly game.
*Above prediction was also printed in USA TODAY Sports Weekly alongside a full game preview. Print editions are available every Wednesday at newsstands everywhere.
John Fennelly: Giants 24, Washington 14.
Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports.
Gotta win sometime and since the WFT is going through rougher times than the Giants right now, this is the spot where they should win. If not this week, then when? It probably won’t be easy, though, as the Giants are their own worst enemy this season.
Doug Rush: Giants 21, Washington 7.
Jeff Gross/Getty Images.
The Giants have shown a lot of competitive fight over the last few weeks despite their 0-5 record. They gave the Chicago Bears, Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys fights and if a few plays go in different directions, maybe the Giants are 2-3 or even 3-2.
But they aren’t, and the sad reality is that they’re 0-5 and looking at another top 5 pick in the NFL Draft.
Their opponents this week are the Washington Football Team, who the Giants swept in their season series last season. Washington won their opener against the Philadelphia Eagles and then have lost four straight since.
This is a prime opportunity for the Giants to end the winless skid and get a victory and get out of the NFC East basement. They are facing off against Kyle Allen since Dwayne Haskins got benched for his poor play a few weeks ago.
This could be a good week for Daniel Jones to show why the Giants took him, and not Haskins, with the sixth overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.
Tyler Henry: Giants 26, Washington 17.
Frederick Breedon/Getty Images.
I promised myself I wouldn’t predict the Giants to win anymore until they get their first W of the season. And yet, here we are.
The Giants were very close in a few games this year, including their games against the Cowboys, Rams and Bears.
All eyes will be on the rookie matchup of Andrew Thomas vs. Chase Young. The Giants can’t overlook the Washington defense as they have one of the stronger front 7s in the league, but I surely think the Big Blue defense is up to the task against the Washington offense.
My gut tells me the Giants get their first win of the season against Washington.
Kevin Hickey: Giants 19, Washington 17.
Rob Carr/Getty Images.
This has to be the week. There aren’t a whole lot of winnable games on the Giants schedule this year but when the opportunity comes like it does in Week 6, Big Blue has to show some type of life. With Kyle Allen starting for Washington, the Giants should be able to get pressure at will. It will likely come down to keeping Daniel Jones protected against a strong defensive line, which has been an issue this season. But when its all said and done, the Giants come away with their first win of the season.
Mike Moraitis: Giants 20, Washington 17.
Jamie Squire/Getty Images.
The battle for the keys to the NFC East cellar — one of the deepest, darkest places any team in professional sports can be — will take place in Week 6 between the Giants and Washington.
These two teams are bad, plain and simple, but I like the Giants’ units on both sides of the ball better than Washington’s. New York has several more weapons on offense, and Big Blue’s defense is comparable to Washington’s.
Granted, Chase Young is going to give Daniel Jones fits, but I think the Giants do just enough to out-perform a Kyle Allen-led offense and nab their first win of 2020.
Jeevan Kirkland: Giants 24, Washington 17.
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports.
After a strong offensive showing in Week 5, the New York Giants should be able to muster up to get their first win of the season.
Big Blue should be able to take advantage of this susceptible secondary who struggles to guard tight ends. Evan Engram should emerge as one of Daniel Jones’s best pass catchers in this one.
The defense should also bounce back after against an offensive line that allowed eight sacks and an offense that only scored 10 points last week. This should be one of the more favorable matchups for New York this season and one that they must capitalize on.
Pat Ragazzo: Giants 28, Washington 17.
Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports.
If there was ever a game to win, it’s this week for the Giants.
New York is coming off a 34-point performance and now face a Washington team that has lost four straight and is onto their second quarterback. Both teams are among the league’s worst, but the Giants are due for a victory and I think they get it this week. If not, they could be destined for 0-16.


USA TODAY college football staff picks for Week 6.
USA TODAY Sports' Paul Myerberg discusses Alabama's strong start, Georgia's bounce-back effort and Texas entering the danger zone after a loss. USA TODAY.
Clemson didn't play an ACC team ranked in the top 10 during the last three regular seasons on its way to making the College Football Playoff. That won't be the case this year.
No. 7 Miami (Florida) visits the top-ranked Tigers in the first defining game of the ACC campaign. That it's the Hurricanes providing the first big challenge for Clemson is a surprise. It was expected that Notre Dame would be the toughest opponent for the Tigers when they travel to South Bend, Indiana, in November. But Miami, which was unranked in the preseason Amway Coaches Poll, has been one of the season's early successes with three impressive wins. Another victory Saturday would stamp the Hurricanes as playoff contenders.
Clemson wide receiver Frank Ladson Jr. (2) runs the ball during the team's game against Virginia at Memorial Stadium. (Photo: Ken Ruinard, USA TODAY Sports)
There's also a major showdown set for the SEC with No. 3 Georgia hosting No. 12 Tennessee. The Bulldogs impressed last week with solid play from quarterback Stetson Bennett and a ferocious defense overwhelming Auburn. The Volunteers have won eight in a row dating to last year and are looking to take a major step toward national relevance with an upset victory.
Another ACC matchup of ranked opponents has No. 9 North Carolina getting a visit from No. 18 Virginia Tech as the Tar Heels hope to build off last week's close win at Boston College. The Hokies have been slowed by COVID-19 off the field, but they've beaten North Carolina State and Duke. Now comes their first real test that should reveal if they have enough to beat of the conference's upper-echelon teams.
Wrapping things up, No. 20 Texas A&M gets its second shot at a top five win when No. 3 Florida comes to town. The Aggies faltered at Alabama last week, but would get a boost from beating the Gators, who have established themselves as playoff contenders.


USA TODAY Sports' Week 6 NFL picks: Tom Brady's Patriots look to knock off unbeaten Chiefs.
Tom Brady (12) and the Patriots will get their first look at Kansas City's Patrick Mahomes on Sunday night. (Photo: Evan Russell, USA TODAY Sports)
Week 6 of the NFL season comes with some tantalizing games, perhaps none more intriguing than the undefeated Chiefs visit to New England, site of Kansas City's massive upset of the Patriots to kick off the 2017 season. Of course, this time, Patrick Mahomes is under center for K.C. and will take aim at what's been an up-and-down Pats defense.
Elsewhere, Pittsburgh will try to knock off the first-place Bengals in Cincinnati — and Paul Brown Stadium has been an alternate home field for the Steelers in recent years.
Elsewhere, the Browns are seeking consecutive wins for the first time in nearly four years, while the Raiders and Seahawks kick off this year's International Series with London's Wembley Stadium hosting the Marshawn Lynch Bowl.




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  wild bill football picks
Posted by: FabioIneks - 02-07-2021, 08:17 PM - Forum: My Forum - No Replies

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п»їNFL odds, lines, spreads, picks, predictions for Wild Card Round, 2021: Top model loving Steelers, Ravens.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every NFL game during the 2021 Wild Card Round 10,000 times with surprising results.
There are multiple divisional matchups on Wild Card Weekend, including an AFC North rivalry between the Steelers and Browns on Sunday. Division rivalries in the NFL are often difficult to pick when deciding which team to back in your NFL bets. That's because the two teams are often extremely familiar with each other, which can lead to a surprising upset. The Steelers have won 10 straight meetings against Cleveland at Heinz Field, but can you trust them with your NFL picks after losing four of their last five games?
Pittsburgh is a six-point favorite at home according to the latest Wild Card Round NFL odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Will Pittsburgh pull off the home victory and advance to the next round of the NFL playoff bracket, or will Cleveland shock the world and win its first postseason game since 1994? All of the 2021 Wild Card Round NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best 2021 Wild Card Round NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 23-13 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters the 2021 NFL Playoffs on an incredible 119-77 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
Additionally, the model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest 2021 Wild Card Round NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for the 2021 Wild Card Round.
One of the top Wild Card Round NFL picks the model recommends: The Steelers (-6) cover against the Browns. Cleveland earned its spot in the NFL playoff bracket with a 24-22 victory over the visiting Steelers last week, who rested quarterback Ben Roethlisberger.
The Browns will be without coach Kevin Stefanski, Pro Bowl guard Joel Bitonio and wide receiver KhaDarel Hodge due to COVID-19. The Steelers crushed the Browns, 38-7, in Week 6 when both teams were at full strength, as Cleveland quarterback Baker Mayfield threw two interceptions, including a pick-six to Pittsburgh's Minkah Fitzpatrick.
SportsLine's model predicts that the Steelers cover the spread in almost 60 percent of simulations. The under (47.5) also hits almost 60 percent of the time.
Another one of the top Wild Card Weekend NFL predictions from the model: The Ravens (-3) cover against the Titans. The Ravens enter Sunday's showdown averaging 191.9 rushing yards per game this season, which ranks first in the NFL. Tennessee, meanwhile, is averaging 168.1 yards per game on the ground, the second-best mark in the league.
The Titans are 5-2 in their last seven games, but their defense has begun to deteriorate over the last few weeks. In fact, Tennessee has given up at least 38 points in three of its last five games. Baltimore, meanwhile, has given up 14 or fewer points in its last three outings. In addition, the Ravens have been sensational on the road, winning 12 of their last 14 road games.
SportsLine's model projects that Baltimore's defense will hold the Titans to just 23 points on Saturday, resulting in the Ravens covering the spread in over 50 percent of simulations. The under (54.5) also has value because that hits over 60 percent of the time.
How to make 2021 Wild Card Round NFL picks.
The model has also made the call on every other game on the NFL Wild Card Round schedule and identified a top Super Bowl contender that gets a huge scare. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence during the 2021 NFL Wild Card Round? And which contender gets a huge scare? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are covering in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up nearly $7,900 on its top-rated NFL picks.


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NFL Wild Card: Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills odds, picks and prediction.
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The Indianapolis Colts (11-5) and Buffalo Bills (13-3) lock horns in an AFC playoff game Saturday in NFL Wild Card Weekend at 1:05 p.m. ET at Bills Stadium. Below, we preview the Colts-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Colts at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines.
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:04 a.m. ET.
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Colts at Bills: Game notes.
The Colts enter this game having won four of their past five games outright, but they’re 0-3 ATS since their most recent cover in Week 14 in Las Vegas. Indianapolis has also scored at least 24 points in each of its past eight games. Indianapolis has racked up 378.1 total yards of offense per game to rank 10th in the NFL, and they’re 11th in both passing yards (253.3) and rushing yards (124.8) per contest. The Colts rank ninth with 28.2 PPG. Defensively the Colts have been stout, allowing just 332.1 total yards per game to rank eighth in the NFL, and they’re second in rushing defense with 90.5 yards per game allowed. If teams have success against their D, it’s through the air, as they have allowed 241.6 passing yards per game to check in just 20th. Buffalo scored a season-high 56 points in their 30-point win over Miami in Week 17, winning for the sixth straight game, while covering for the eighth consecutive outing. They have also won five straight at home and covered four in a row in Western New York. The Bills’ offense has been on point, going for 396.4 total yards per game to rank second in the NFL. They’re also second in points scored, 31.3 PPG while averaging 288.8 passing yards per game to rank third in the league. If they have an Achilles heel, it’s their run game, which generated just 107.7 rushing yards per contest.
Colts at Bills: Key injuries.
DT DeForest Buckner (ankle) questionable CB Rock Ya-Sin (concussion) out.
WR Cole Beasley (knee) questionable WR Stefon Diggs (oblique) questionable.
Colts at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks.
Prediction.
Bills 29, Colts 20.
Money line (?)
Playing the Bills (-275) is not a good idea, risking nearly three times your potential return. Over the long haul, it’s a losing proposition to bet in that manner unless you plan to toss it into a multi-team parlay. Even then, it’s better to just bet against the spread. PASS.
Against the spread (?)
The BILLS -6.5 (-115) have been money at home, with their last non-cover coming in Week 8 against New England in a 24-21 win as four-point favorites, and their last outright loss coming in Week 10 against the Arizona Cardinals on the Hail Murray , 32-30.
Even without their throngs of fans at full throat, Bills Stadium has been a difficult place to play. They’ll have a limited amount of fans in the stands Saturday to help spur them on.
Over/Under (?)
These are a couple of high-flying offenses, and they should put on a show in the opening game of the 2020 NFL playoffs. However, the lean is to the UNDER 51.5 (-115) .
In last season’s wild-card round the Under was a perfect 4-0, and the Under is hitting at a 75.8 percent clip (22-7-3) across the wild-card round in the past eight seasons. That’s good enough for me to keep banging Under plays.
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NFL Super Wild Card Weekend game picks: Ravens top Titans; Steelers over Browns.
Around The NFL Editor.
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Gregg Rosenthal went 15-1 on his predictions for Week 17 of the 2020 NFL season, bringing his total record to 166-88-1. How will he fare on Super Wild Card Weekend? His picks are below.
Sunday, Jan. 10.
Baltimore Ravens 30, Tennessee Titans 28.
It should be obvious by now the Titans match up well with the Ravens. Tennessee can handle the physicality and diversity of Baltimore's defense. The Ravens' increasingly efficient but low-volume passing attack doesn't take full advantage of the Titans' biggest weaknesses in pass rush and pass coverage. The Titans prove they can hold on to a big lead against the Ravens last January and completed a double-digit comeback this November.
Baltimore's Week 11 loss to Tennessee proved to be the Ravens' low point. Instead of trying to hammer teams with interior runs, they adapted to a spread attack that emphasized Lamar Jackson and J.K. Dobbins on the edge. They have fewer tight ends on the field on early downs and more creativity with players like Devin Duvernayп»ї. The team's defensive resurgence may be more about the opponents and the offense holding the ball so long.
There is every reason to expect a shootout. The Titans aren't just bad on defense; they are ranked 28th in special teams DVOA. (The Ravens are second.) Ryan Tannehill is seemingly built to withstand vicious hits, blitzes and pressures. Derrick Henryп»ї, after 378 carries, appears indestructible and can victimize a Ravens front that's not as good as its reputation.
I'm picking the Ravens here because Jackson is still my choice as the best player on the field and I don't want to imagine another offseason of talking about his playoff struggles. But I don't understand the folks saying this matchup sets up well for the Ravens and I don't like the looks of Baltimore as the overwhelming consensus pick. That's underestimating the Titans -- and an offense that ranks with any in the NFL -- yet again.
New Orleans Saints 30, Chicago Bears 20.
The score projection above could change depending on the health of the Bears. Chicago hasn't had two starting cornerbacks (Jaylon Johnson and Buster Skrineп»ї) for weeks, and it showed last week against Green Bay. Linebacker Roquan Smith, who has been nearly as valuable as Khalil Mack this season, could be out. No. 2 receiver Darnell Mooney may also be unavailable.
For most of the season, including during the Saints-Bears overtime game in Week 8, Chicago's defense was a big plus. The Bears make opposing attacks earn it. I'm not sure that's the case anymore because of injuries, and the matchup on Sunday is tricky. In theory, the Bears can win if they pressure Drew Brees into mistakes. Brees has been holding the ball and more hesitant at times over the last three weeks. But he has the luxury of a prime running game and the best tackle combination in football, ready to snuff out Mack and Robert Quinnп»ї.
Mitchell Trubisky's resurgence over the last month has more to do with improved play-calling, weak opponents and dropped interceptions than any real development. Analysts touting a change are either seeing what they want to see or haven't watched the games. There's little reason to think he's capable of playing four quarters against a quality pass rush without coughing the ball up a few times.
Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Cleveland Browns 20.
A handful of the Steelers' best players are more rested than they've been all year. The Browns, meanwhile, have barely practiced in weeks and will be missing their head coach and players like guard Joel Bitonio due to COVID-19. The team's best pass rusher down the stretch, Olivier Vernonп»ї, just tore his Achilles' tendon. It's a shame that the Browns' well-earned first playoff season in eons is so impacted by bad luck, and it's also a shame these teams played last week.
The key for the Browns will be protecting Baker Mayfieldп»ї. While he threw the ball well against Pittsburgh in Week 17, most of the four sacks Pittsburgh recorded without T.J. Watt or Cameron Heyward came because of Mayfield's indecisiveness. Most of the pressure that Cleveland generated came from Sheldon Richardsonп»ї, matched up against the Steelers' backup center.
Even without Bitonio, the Browns' offensive line is the best unit in this game. Jack Conklin and Wyatt Teller can maul anyone in the running game. Cleveland's tight ends will have favorable matchups against Pittsburgh's iffy linebackers at times. The Browns have the better offense in an offense-first league. That gives the Browns a shot to win in a matchup likely to feature few possessions, but it still feels like they are fighting uphill because of the circumstances entering this game in addition to their lackluster defense.
ALREADY COMPLETED.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 27, Washington Football Team 15.
The Football Team overachieved. No one can take away the fact that Alex Smithп»ї, after all his surgeries, was the quarterback getting interviewed on the field by Michele Tafoya after making the playoffs in Game 256 of the NFL season. The Team should keep the nickname and the uniforms, but they should not keep playing after this weekend.
Washington's rugged defense has slowed down nearly every team it's faced, so that is likely to happen again, even against a peaking Bucs offense. Chase Youngп»ї, Jonathan Allen and friends comprise a worthy opponent for one of the best offensive lines in football. Washington can make Tom Brady uncomfortable.
Watching Smith and this Washington passing game against virtually any defense right now, however, is equally uncomfortable. The Football Team features one of the worst offenses to make the playoffs in a long time, facing a talented, if erratic, Bucs defense. Ron Rivera has talked about possibly rotating in backup Taylor Heinicke for this game if Smith's calf isn't right. This matchup reminds me of the Seahawks-Eagles Wild Card game last season where Josh McCown had to take the quarterbacking reins for Philadelphia. The Wild Card Round is where the NFL flushes out the nice stories in favor of complete teams.
UPDATE: Smith is inactive for Saturday's game, so Heinicke will get the start.
Los Angeles Rams 20, Seattle Seahawks 19.
Jared Goff is a John McVay-era quarterback in a Sean McVay NFL. Goff's inability to hit big plays or create on his own has held the Rams back this season, and McVay's play-calling down the stretch displayed a previously unseen lack of confidence in his well-compensated quarterback. I would love to know if Goff will be starting this game following thumb surgery before making a pick, and I'd really love to know how McVay feels about his quarterback position.
Rams backup John Wolford wasn't perfect last week, but his legs gave the Rams a much-needed boost to their struggling running game. He went through progressions and threw with timing. In a matchup against a Seahawks defense that dominated Goff just two weeks ago, I wonder if Wolford is the better choice.
Russell Wilson's matchup against these Rams is similarly daunting. Pro Football Focus' 19th-ranked quarterback since Week 9 hasn't seen many open receivers. He's faced pressure at the fourth-highest rate in the league, often indecisive and incorrect about when to run. The Seahawks have scored 12 points combined in the first half of their last two games.
I think the Rams are the most likely underdog to win this week because they have the best defense in a defensive matchup. Aaron Donald has 16 pressures in two games against the Seahawks this season and Jalen Ramsey has helped limit DK Metcalf's impact. This game is bound to be ugly, low-scoring and close in the fourth quarter. McVay has a 5-3 record against Pete Carroll and winning on the road with a backup quarterback would get the crown back as the NFC West's best coach and certainly the best division's best defense.
Buffalo Bills 31, Indianapolis Colts 21.
There's no particular reason the Bills should lose this game. They are a dominant, pass-first team in a pass-first league, peaking at the right time. Josh Allen hasn't just proven previous doubters like me spectacularly wrong this year; he's made the argument for my unemployment during an economic crisis.
The Bills finished first in weighted DVOA at Football Outsiders, which gives added importance to how a team performs later in the season. Even Buffalo's defense, which struggled early in the year, finished the season playing at a higher level than a sound Colts group that is similar to the Bills' D in many ways. Both units communicate well and don't give up big plays. They force opponents into long drives and each finished in the top five in takeaways. That's Indianapolis' best hope.
Despite Philip Rivers' bad decisions when trailing, the Colts finished second in turnover margin with the third-fewest giveaways in the NFL. If Indianapolis' big defensive playmakers like DeForest Buckner, Darius Leonard and Kenny Moore force a mistake or three and get a lucky bounce, the Colts could hang in this game. Jonathan Taylor has evolved from a struggling rookie to one of the 10 best running backs in football, so Indy could try the ol' shorten the game strategy against a superior opponent.
This is the perfect first playoff test for these Bills. The Colts are a quality opponent who will make Buffalo earn it, but they don't have enough firepower to hang in a shootout. If Frank Reich's offense goes stagnant for a few quarters, like it has regularly over the last month, the Bills could overcome any deficit or make this game uglier than the score I'm predicting.


NFL wild-card picks: Ravens top Titans, Bills a lock to beat Colts.
Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson celebrates after running back J.K. Dobbins ran in for a touchdown against the Bengals during the second half of an NFL game on Sunday in Cincinnati. Credit: AP/Aaron Doster.
If you were not in favor of the NFL adding a seventh wild-card team in each conference, please issue your apology to the league immediately. Now we get six games instead of four, and really, why should the 2 seed get a bye in the first place? The AFC has the more intriguing games, with Baltimore-Tennessee the best of the entire bunch.
SATURDAY’S GAMES.
INDIANAPOLIS (11-5) AT BUFFALO (13-3)
TV: Ch. 2, 1:05 p.m.
Buffalo by 6.5; O/U: 51.5.
If Buffalo lost to Miami last week, it would’ve set up a rematch in the wild-card round instead of having to face a more dangerous Colts team. On second thought, the way the Bills are playing, it doesn’t matter whom they’re facing. If not for the last-second "Hail Murray" in Arizona, Buffalo would be on a 10-game winning streak. After that two-point loss, the Bills have won six in a row by 10, 10, 11, 29, 29 and 30 points! Josh Allen is on fire and Sean McDermott’s defense should force Philip Rivers into a costly mistake or two. Buffalo’s 22-19 overtime loss at Houston in the wild-card round last season, a game it led 16-0, was a big lesson for a young team and it’ll be ready this time.
The pick: Buffalo.
The score: Buffalo 38, Indianapolis 27.
L.A. RAMS (10-6) AT SEATTLE (12-4)
TV: Ch. 5, 4:40 p.m.
Seattle by 3.5; O/U: 42.
It’s uncertain if Jared Goff will play, but I’m not certain it matters. The Seahawks just beat the Rams, 20-9, in Seattle two weeks ago (L.A. won the first meeting, 23-16, in Week 10). Seattle’s defense is allowing 16 points per game over its last eight contests compared with a little over 30 in its first eight. Seattle has won 10 straight home playoff games, the last five with Russell Wilson. Seattle is the healthier squad and it will show. The key will be making sure the Rams aren’t ahead at halftime: When they are, Sean McVay is a remarkable 36-0.
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The pick: Seattle.
The score: Seattle 23, Los Angeles 13.
TAMPA BAY (11-5) AT WASHINGTON (7-9)
Tampa Bay by 8.5; O/U: 44.5.
The last time a seven-win team made the playoffs . . . it won its first-round game. And the time before that . . . it also won. While Washington is unlikely to make it 3-for-3, covering is a different story. Quick, how many playoff teams did Tom Brady’s Bucs beat this year? Yep, just one (38-10 over Packers back in Week 6). It’s also just one for Washington, albeit an impressive one over then-11-0 Pittsburgh. But no one is saying Washington is a title contender. Some are giving Tampa Bay a shot after a 4-0 December (against Minnesota, Detroit and Atlanta twice), but I’m not buying the Bucs. Led by Chase Young, Washington has the pass rushers to get in Brady’s face and frustrate him, which as every Giants fan will tell you, is the way to beat him. The Bucs went 1-3 in prime-time games and the one win was a sweat-it-out two-pointer over the Giants. All the pressure is on the visitors, and "Riverboat" Ron Rivera will roll the dice when necessary and keep this closer than you think.
The pick: Washington.
The score: Tampa Bay 24, Washington 19.
SUNDAY’S GAMES.
BALTIMORE (11-5) AT TENNESSEE (11-5)
TV: ESPN, Ch. 7, 1:05 p.m.
Baltimore by 3.5; O/U: 54.5.
If you like your football served with lots of points, make sure you get a good seat on the couch and buckle up for three hours of fireworks: The Titans (30.7 points per game) and the Ravens (29.3) have the top two rushing attacks in the NFL and can be explosive. These teams met in the divisional round last year, when Tennessee upset No. 1 seed Baltimore (the Titans also won this season’s Week 11 matchup, 30-24, in OT). Now, the Ravens are on the road but still favored, but in the big picture, they’re flying under the radar. Lamar Jackson is back to his MVP-caliber level as the Ravens finished on a five-game win streak while scoring 34, 47, 40, 27 and 38 points. Baltimore could benefit from being a lower seed and embracing that underdog role as the playoffs advance, and it wouldn’t shock me if they make a run all the way to the Super Bowl. Derrick Henry and Tennessee will be a tough out, but Jackson gets Baltimore going early (remember, he’s not at his best when having to play catch-up) and exacts some Raven-ge.
The pick: Baltimore.
The score: Baltimore 45, Tennessee 34.
CHICAGO (8-8) AT NEW ORLEANS (12-4)
TV: Ch. 2, Nickelodeon, Amazon Prime 4:40 p.m.
New Orleans by 10; O/U: 47.
This could be Drew Brees’ last hurrah so the urgency level in New Orleans is high, especially after a run of playoff misfortune that includes a 1-4 ATS mark in the last five playoff games. The Saints are clearly the better team, but with the Alvin Kamara COVID-19 news possibly being a distraction and a Bears team playing with house money (and confident they could hang with the Saints after a 26-23 OT loss in Week 8), this feels as if a backdoor cover will be open late.
The pick: Chicago.
The score: New Orleans 34, Chicago 27.
CLEVELAND (11-5) AT PITTSBURGH (12-4)
Pittsburgh by 6; O/U: 47.5.
Only a tortured franchise like the Browns could end the NFL’s longest playoff drought (2002 season) and then fewer than 48 hours later find out they won’t have their head coach for that game. I was all set to call the outright upset, but I can’t do it now. The news of Kevin Stefanski’s positive COVID-19 test is too much to overcome. Even if Baker Mayfield keeps it close early, Ben Roethlisberger (24-2-1 all-time vs. Cleveland) has the weapons at receiver to pull away later.
The pick: Pittsburgh.
The score: Pittsburgh 27, Cleveland 20.
STAFF STANDINGS AND PICKS (best bets in bold)
JOE MANNIELLO.
122-125-9 overall, 11-6 best bets.
Buffalo Seattle Washington.


NFL playoff picks, predictions for wild-card games: Steelers survive Browns scare; Ravens, Buccaneers roll.
It's an NFL wild-card weekend like none other.
The 2021 NFL playoffs feature six wild-card matchups over a two-day stretch that should produce an overload of excitement for NFL fans.
Indianapolis and Buffalo open the playoff bracket at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday. Los Angeles and Seattle will meet for the third time in the 4:40 p.m. slot, which sets up a prime-time matchup between Tampa Bay and Washington at 8:15 p.m.
Sunday's schedule features another tripleheader. Baltimore and Tennessee meet in a rematch of last year's AFC divisional playoff game at 1:05 p.m. Chicago faces New Orleans at 4:40 p.m. Cleveland makes its first playoff appearances since 2003 against the rival Steelers at 8:15 p.m.
Sporting News wrapped up the regular season with another solid week in our straight-up picks. We like the favorites this weekend, but we know anything can happen.
Last Week: 13-3, .812 Regular season: 129-75, .632.
With that in mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 17:
NFL playoff picks, predictions for 2021 wild-card games.
Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills (-7)
Saturday, 1:05 p.m., CBS.
The Bills covered the spread in eight straight games to close the season, part of a six-game winning streak that makes them one of the NFL's hottest teams. The Colts have a top-10 defense and Philip Rivers is an experience playoff quarterback, but they were 1-4 against the other AFC playoff teams this season. Buffalo wins its first playoff game since 1995 with another strong performance from Josh Allen.
Pick: Bills 34, Colts 23.
Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-4.5)
Saturday, 4:40 p.m., FOX.
If Jared Goff (thumb) can't go, then John Wolford will make his first career playoff start against the rival Seahawks. Seattle's offense has been hit-or-miss with Russell Wilson the last few weeks, but the defense is allowing just 12.5 points per game through a four-game win streak. Wilson gets Seattle back in the NFC divisional round. It's hard to pick the Rams – who have the league's top-scoring defense (18.5) – if Goff cannot go.
Pick: Seahawks 27, Rams 16.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8) at Washington Football Team.
Saturday, 8:15 p.m., NBC.
Tampa Bay averaged 37 ppg. in four straight victories to close the season; a remarkable stretch under Tom Brady. Chase Young leads a Washington defense that allows just 20.6 points per game, and it could get interesting if they stop the run. Alex Smith is a feel-good story in his first playoff start since career-threatening leg injury. The line has jumped 1.5 points; a nod to the confidence in Brady and the Bucs.
Pick: Buccaneers 28, Washington 21.
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) at Tennessee Titans.
Saturday, 8:15 p.m., ESPN.
We flip-flopped on this one for obvious reasons. The Titans beat the Ravens in last year’s playoff and won a 30-24 overtime thriller this season. Baltimore found its groove on offense after the 47-42 shootout against Cleveland, and Lamar Jackson was the difference. He finally wins his first playoff start in thrilling fashion.
Pick: Ravens 36, Titans 31.
Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints (-9.5)
Saturday, 4:40 p.m., CBS.
The Bears backed into the playoffs after losing to the Packers, and Mitchell Trubisky is making his second playoff start. The Saints are optimistic Alvin Kamara will return from the COVID-19 list, and Drew Brees is coming off a three-TD performance in Week 17. New Orleans learns from last year’s wild-card loss to Minnesota and returns to the divisional playoffs.
Pick: Saints 31, Bears 21.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-4)
Saturday, 8:15 p.m., NBC.
The Browns beat the Steelers 26-24, and this is the first matchup between the teams since the 2003 AFC Wild Card thriller. Expect a similar game to break out. Cleveland leads at halftime behind a pair of Nick Chubb TDs. Baker Mayfield plays his best game to date at Heinz Field, much better than the last visit. The Steelers rally in the second half, however, and Ben Roethlisberger – who is 24-2-1 against the Browns – leads the way in the second half. Cleveland has a chance to tie late, but the Steelers come up with the stop this time.




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Malcolm Butler picks Lamar Jackson, Titans up 10-0.
Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson wants to change the narrative about his postseason performance after playoff losses the last two years, but that bid is off to a rocky start.
The Ravens went three-and-out to open the game and their second drive ended with the fourth postseason interception of Jackson’s three-year career.
Jackson was trying to hit wide receiver Miles Boykin with a deep pass to the right side of the field, but the throw was too far inside and Titans cornerback Malcolm Butler had an easy play on the ball. It’s the first postseason interception for Butler since the final play of Super Bowl XLIX.
The Titans moved into scoring position on a 35-yard pass to tight end Anthony Firkser, but settled for a field goal after failing to move the ball from there. They now lead 10-0 with under two minutes to play in the first quarter.


NFL Picks Against the Spread: Super Bowl LV.
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2020): 9-6-1 (+$1,090) NFL Picks (Week 2, 2020): 13-3 (+$1,910) NFL Picks (Week 3, 2020): 12-4 (+$1,230) NFL Picks (Week 4, 2020): 6-7-2 (-$675) NFL Picks (Week 5, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,770) NFL Picks (Week 6, 2020): 5-9 (-$2,365) NFL Picks (Week 7, 2020): 6-7-1 (-$580) NFL Picks (Week 8, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,210) NFL Picks (Week 9, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,945) NFL Picks (Week 10, 2020): 5-8-1 (-$825) NFL Picks (Week 11, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,935) NFL Picks (Week 12, 2020): 10-6 (+$2,395) NFL Picks (Week 13, 2020): 6-9 (-$235) NFL Picks (Week 14, 2020): 10-6 (+$1,330) NFL Picks (Week 15, 2020): 6-9-1 (+$210) NFL Picks (Week 16, 2020): 11-5 (+$1,140) NFL Picks (Week 17, 2020): 8-7-1 (+$985) NFL Picks (Week 18, 2020): 1-5 (-$1,430) NFL Picks (Week 19, 2020): 3-1 (+$285) NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$250)
NFL Picks (2020): 137-124-7 (+$3,815) NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200) NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845) NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300) NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780) NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215) NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885) NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825) NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445) NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335) NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880) NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235) NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105) NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585) If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ. Vegas betting action updated Feb. 2, 2:20 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.
Super Bowl LV Pick Chiefs at Buccaneers.
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Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$250) Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$400) Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 0-0 ($0) Last Week Over-Under (Week 20, 2020): 0-2 ($0) Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 20, 2020): -$150.
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-2, 50.0% (-$135)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-124-6, 52.5% (+$3,815) 2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965) 2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515) 2020 Season Over-Under: 140-122-6, 53.4% ($0) 2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$225.
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%) 2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%) 2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%) 2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%) 2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%) 2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%) 2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%) 2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%) 2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585) 2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105) 2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235) 2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880) 2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335) 2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445) 2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825) 2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885) 2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215) 2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780) 2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300) 2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845) 2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%) 2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%) 2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%) 2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%) 2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%) 2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110) 2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510) 2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260) 2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180) 2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715) 2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130) 2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890) 2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820) 2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475) 2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395) 2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670) 2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%) 2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%) 2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%) 2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%) 2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%) 2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420) 2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055) 2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330) 2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790) 2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260) 2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650) 2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970) 2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120) 2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465) 2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595) 2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735) 2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%) 2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%) 2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%) 2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%) 2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%) 2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%) 2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900) 2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860) 2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195) 2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5) 2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135) 2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30) 2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340) 2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0) 2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95) 2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640) 2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225) 2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035 2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775 2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865 2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200 2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590 2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685 2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245 2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855 2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275 2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510 2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495 2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715.
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%) 2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400) 2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720) 2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640) 2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810) 2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870) 2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560) 2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900) 2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350) 2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100) 2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780) 2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040) 2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640) 2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,994-2,761-179, 52.0% (+$14,120) Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 957-859-49 (52.7%) Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 452-396-23 (53.3%) Career Over-Under: 2,462-2,416-66 (50.5%) Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%) Career NFL Picks of the Month: 44-29-1 (60.3%)
My Team-by-Team ATS Record This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.




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  doctor bob's football picks
Posted by: FabioIneks - 02-07-2021, 07:56 PM - Forum: My Forum - No Replies

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п»їDoctor bob's football picks.
Bob Stoll founded Dr. Bob Sports in 1987 while studying statistics at UC Berkeley. In those 32 years Dr. Bob has been one of the most profitable and respected handicappers in the nation. Bob uses advanced math models with adjustments for current personnel/injuries that have proven to give him an edge over the Vegas line. Dr. Bob’s picks have an influence on the betting markets and his long term results are rivaled by very few public handicappers.
NFL Best Bets 222-166-2 (57.2%), including 132-78-2 (63%) on sides, in 4 seasons using an advanced NFL play-by-play model.
NBA Guru.
NBA Guru has two decades of handicapping experience in which he has utilized a background in math, finance, economics, and psychology to find value in the sports betting market.
ESSAYS.
Sports Betting as an Investment.
Most people think that sports betting is about finding ‘sure things,’ but in reality such ‘locks’ are nothing more than gamblers’ fancy. Read More.
Money Management.
Tired of losing his money to the house, a bored millionaire in Las Vegas turns to you and offers you a proposition that you can’t refuse. Read More.
Advanced Topics.
A general understanding of the role that variance plays in betting and in life can help prepare advanced investors for the swings that naturally occur in betting. Read More.


College Football.
Dr. Bob.
Packages Available.
Daily/Weekly Recap.
College Bowls and 2020 Season Recap.
It is unfortunately fitting that the final Best Bet of the College Football season was a 1/2 point loss on a game that looked like a winner the entire way – and should have been a winner. It took 31 4th quarter points to push the North Carolina-Texas A&M game over 67.5 points. The game shouldn’t have even been close to going over, as the teams combined for just 782 total yards even with explosive touchdown plays of 76 yards and 75 yards. Neither team could consistently move the ball (just 5.1 yards per play combined without those two big plays included) and the 782 yards on 125 plays projects just 55.3 total points. That was a very good bet and will be recorded as my second undeserved Best Bet loss of the season. The other undeserved loss was Auburn -2.5 vs S. Carolina when Auburn outgained the Gamecocks by 179 yards but were an uncharacteristic -2 in turnovers (only 6 offensive turnovers combined in their other 10 regular season games and 3 vs South Carolina). I also had a Best Bet loss on the East Carolina-Tulsa Under that was featured as one of Scott Van Pelt’s 3 worst beats of the year (in all sports). That was a brutally unfair ending that caused us to lose that game (3 officials mistakes) but I counted that one as a toss-up game that lost due to the stats projected score being pretty close to the total.
For the season my College Best Bets are 28-28-3 for -4.9 Stars (0-1 on 3-Stars, 8-7 on 2-Stars, 20-20-3 on 1-Stars with -0.15 of juice) and my Strong Opinions are 25-19-2 for the season .
The Best Bets were just 2-5-3 on toss-up games (instead of 50%) and with 2 undeserved losses against zero lucky wins this season (my first college season without a lucky win). The Best Bets were just 28-28-3 but winning those two games I certainly deserved to win and going 3-4-3 on toss-up games instead of 2-5-3, would have resulted in a decent 31-25-3 record (55.3%), which is right at my all-time win percentage in college football. The Strong Opinions were 25-19-2 (57%), so overall my level of handicapping in 2020 was pretty solid, especially considering the amount of late-breaking news due to the Covid pandemic. I’ve has seasons when the luck has been on my side too and this season I’ve won more close games than I’ve lost in the NFL, which has been incredibly good, so no complaints about this football season overall (81-53-3 on all Football Best Bets), although I suppose the few of you that haven’t been on the NFL have some complaints.
Free Analysis.
My Week 16 Free Analysis sides were 9-8 ATS and 2-3 on differences form the line of 4 points or more. The totals were 10-7 (1-3 on differences or 6 points or more, which are historically profitable). For the season, the Free Analysis sides are just 149-166-1 (38-44 on differences of 4 points or more) while totals are 166-161-5 (19-19 on differences from the line of 6 points or more, 45-34 on differences of 5 or more).
This will likely be the first season in which the Free Analysis sides with differences from the line of 4 points or more have not been profitable and the first season in which all Free Analysis sides will have a losing record. However, the Best Bets and Strong Opinions are a decent 51-41-2 (55.4%) and going forward the free plays should be profitable given the long term record.
The record on all Free Analysis sides is now 2064-1856-73 ATS since 2013 , which is very good picking nearly every game over 8 years. The Free Analysis sides in which my predicted margin was 4 points or more away from the line are a profitable 688-587-27 . Totals on the Free pages are now 1807-1757-31 in the 7 seasons I’ve been tracking them.
The spreads posted are the consensus lines at the time I posted each analysis .


NFL Picks Against the Spread and Expert Predictions, Tips, Parlays.
NFL picks and expert predictions as well as betting tips and parlays for all of this weeks games. All of our expert NFL predictions are against the spread. (ATS) This page will be updated weekly.
The Kansas City Chiefs hit the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium (6:30 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs and Tom Brady for the Buccaneers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (3:05 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start the game are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The Buffalo Bills go up against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium (6:40 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Josh Allen for the Bills and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
The Cleveland Browns hit the road to play the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium (3:05 PM EST). The probable starting quarterbacks are Baker Mayfield for the Browns and Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to take on the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Superdome (6:40 PM EST). The expected starting QBs are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Drew Brees for the Saints. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
The Baltimore Ravens take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Lamar Jackson for the Ravens and Josh Allen for the Bills. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
The Los Angeles Rams take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (4:35 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Jared Goff for the Rams and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The Chicago Bears take on the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Superdome (4:40 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Mitchell Trubisky for the Bears and Drew Brees for the Saints. This matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free NFL prediction for tonight.
The Baltimore Ravens hit the road to play the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium (1:05 PM EST). The expected starting quarterbacks are Lamar Jackson for the Ravens and Ryan Tannehill for the Titans. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
The Los Angeles Rams go up against the Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field (4:40 PM EST). The expected starting quarterbacks are John Wolford for the Rams and Russell Wilson for the Seahawks. This report includes betting predictions and our expert NFL picks for todays game.
The Indianapolis Colts hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (1:05 PM EST). The expected starters at quarterback are Philip Rivers for the Colts and Josh Allen for the Bills. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Washington Football Team at FedEx Field (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Alex Smith for the Football Team. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
The Cleveland Browns hit the road to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field (8:15 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Baker Mayfield for the Browns and Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers. This games report has current odds, betting predictions, and free picks against the spread.
The Minnesota Vikings hit the road to play the Detroit Lions at Ford Field (1:00 PM EST). The probable starting QBs are Kirk Cousins for the Vikings and Matthew Stafford for the Lions. We have included an expert NFL pick and parlay for todays game against the spread.
The Miami Dolphins hit the road to take on the Buffalo Bills at Bills Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The QBs expected to start under center are Tua Tagovailoa for the Dolphins and Josh Allen for the Bills. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread.
The New Orleans Saints play the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium (4:25 PM EST). The probable starting QBs are Drew Brees for the Saints and Teddy Bridgewater for the Panthers. This matchup report includes betting lines and our NFL pick of the day for this game.
The Dallas Cowboys take on the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start under center are Andy Dalton for the Cowboys and Colt McCoy for the Giants. This games report has current odds, betting predictions, and free picks against the spread.
The Pittsburgh Steelers hit the road to play the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium (1:00 PM EST). The QBs expected to start the game are Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers and Baker Mayfield for the Browns. This matchup report includes football betting lines and our pick of the day for this game.
The Green Bay Packers hit the road to play the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field (4:25 PM EST). The probable starting quarterbacks are Aaron Rodgers for the Packers and Mitchell Trubisky for the Bears. This matchup report has your NFL football pick of the day as well as NFL football odds for the game.
The Washington Football Team hit the road to take on the Philadelphia Eagles at Lincoln Financial Field (8:20 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Dwayne Haskins for the Football Team and Jalen Hurts for the Eagles. This matchup report includes odds, betting predictions and a free pick against the spread.


Dr Bob Sports Handicapping Review.
Company Background.
Dr Bob Sports Company Description: …My most recent math model for college football, which debuted in 2004, has been incredibly successful and led to an article in the Wall Street Journal, appearances on CNBC, and a story about my service on ESPN’s E:60 magazine show. That extra attention makes it a bit more challenging to stay ahead of the odds makers, who are now fully aware of me and my plays, but I will continue to adjust my models. Their line-setting methods have caught up to about where I was in 2003, but I have several factors of analysis that I do not think that the odds makers have considered yet. Furthermore, the lines are heavily influenced by public opinion, which is frequently off-base, and that makes my job much easier. My handicapping philosophy is now based more on my math models than on the technical analysis, because the math models have been so good, but I still use a combination of factors to come up with my Best Bets….
Sports Handicapper(s): Bob Stoll.
Covering these sports: NFL, College Football, NBA, College Basketball, MLB.
Sports Handicapping Pricing.
Free Sports Picks: Free sports picks are available Daily Pick Price: NA Weekly Package Price: NA Monthly Package Price: $525.
Our Handicapping Review of Dr Bob Sports.
What to expect: Bob Stoll offers good but costly insights. He has a variety of season long packages that cost one to two thousand dollars. If you are managing a large investment he could be a good option but if you aren’t it will be very tough to win enough to cover the cost of these picks. He is open about his past performances so you can evaluate him for yourself. Unfortunately his winning percentage has dropped the last few years. Overall we are comfortable with this sports handicapper. We have seen some good picks come from Dr Bob and have heard good things from other sports gamblers that use this service. He is well respected amongst his peers.


Doctor bob's football picks.
EPA is Expected Points Added, ATS is Against The Spread, YPPL is yards per play, YPPP is yards per pass play.
2016-20 NFL Results.
2016-20 NFL Best Bets are 281-193-2 (59.4%) – 159-88-2 on Sides , 96-83 on totals, 6-3 1st-half totals, 8-11 team totals, 11-7 teasers, 1-1 season win totals.
NFL Best Bets are now 59-27 (69%) this season, including 41-15 the last 11 weeks!
2016-20 NFL Strong Opinions are 176-143-8 (55.2%) – 77-81-7 sides, 67-50-1 totals, 1-1 1st-half sides, 4-1 1st-half totals, 4-4 Team Totals, 2-1 teasers, 21-5 Post-season prop bets.




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  fantsay football picks
Posted by: FabioIneks - 02-07-2021, 07:52 PM - Forum: My Forum - No Replies

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п»їFantasy Football: Top 5 differential picks ahead of GW20.
A huge DGW19 saw many differential players shine last week. The likes of James Maddison, John Stones and Michail Antonio all proved to be solid picks who scored highly.
However, looking ahead in GW20, we are back to a normal week with 10 Premier League matches. Favourable fixtures lie ahead for several sides as we look at five differential options for you and your fantasy teams.
With Tuesday's deadline fast approaching, these cheap picks with low ownership will help you stand out in your mini-leagues.
Bernardo Silva - Manchester City (ВЈ7.4m)
Man City are arguably the most in-form team right now and have a great fixture against West Brom coming up. West Brom have the worst defensive record in the Premier League and face a rampant City side who have scored 10 goals in their last four league games.
With Kevin De Bruyne now out with a hamstring injury for the next 4-6 weeks, City's midfield will need to step up if they want to keep their run of form going. Silva has started their last six league games and grabbed his first goal of the season against Aston Villa last week.
Owned by only 0.9% of players, he is a great differential option instead of opting for Ilkay Gundogan (ВЈ5.5m) or Phil Foden (ВЈ6.3m), who are already owned by many.
Silva is undoubtedly a player who is looking to get back to his best. After a quiet campaign so far, this could be the time to put faith in Silva to fill the void that De Bruyne has left.
Bukayo Saka - Arsenal (ВЈ5.3m)
Arsenal's resurgence in the league continues away at Southampton, as they look to get revenge following a 1-0 loss to the Saints in the FA Cup on Saturday. Despite their poor performance, the Gunners are still unbeaten in their last six league games and a large part of it is down to Bukayo Saka.
The 19-year-old has been in great form this season and is of incredible value at ВЈ5.3m. He has scored three goals and produced two assists in his last five games - including one against Newcastle United last weekend.
Despite being owned by 10.3% of owners, Saka remains at the heart of Arsenal's attack. He was rested in their FA Cup game before being forced to come on as an impact sub for the last half-an-hour.
Arsenal have needed more attacking flair this year and Saka has been the one to bring it for them. He is definitely a good, cheap option for GW20.
Vladimir Coufal - West Ham United (4.7m)
West Ham right-back Vladimir Coufal has been in impressive form since he signed for the club at the start of the season. The Czech international has been an integral part of West Ham's excellent campaign, which has put them 7th in the league table.
They are now unbeaten in their last seven games in all competitions, keeping five clean sheets during that spell. They will face a struggling Crystal Palace side that have only won one game in their last nine in all competitions.
Coufal, who is owned by 7.4% of FPL managers, has also produced four assists this season including one last week against West Brom.
While West Ham's alternative full-back option, Aaron Cresswell, is owned by 18.7% of managers, Coufal is a great differential option as they look to earn another clean sheet on the road.
Edinson Cavani - Manchester United (ВЈ7.8m)
Man United striker Edinson Cavani has been a top signing for Solskjaer so far this season. He has only started four league games but has already scored four goals and produced two assists.
Cavani, who is owned by only 3.6% of FPL managers, put in a solid display and scored against Fulham in their 2-1 win last week.
Now that he has found his feet in the Premier League, Cavani could start more games and may be chosen from the off against Sheffield United. The Blades own one of the worst defensive records in the league, conceding 32 goals already.
United, on the other hand, are still at the top of the table and will look to continue their good run of form with an attacking display against a side that has only won once all season.
Bertrand Traore - Aston Villa (ВЈ5.9m)
After a tough 2-0 loss to Man City, Aston Villa put in a commanding performance to beat Newcastle by the same scoreline last weekend. Bertrand Traore was one of their top performers in that match, grabbing a goal himself.
Traore is beginning to find his feet in this Villa team after arriving from Lyon for ВЈ17m in the summer. He has now scored four goals in his last six games and is one of the first names on the team sheet.
Only owned by a surprising 0.6% of FPL managers, Traore is a great differential option. Where 36.6% of managers have opted for his teammate Jack Grealish, Traore can still give you valuable attacking returns.
Villa will travel to an in-form Burnley side who became the first side to beat Liverpool at Anfield in the league since April 2017 last week. However, Villa have been a good side this season and Traore will be important to their hopes of climbing further up the table.


NFL DFS for Championship Weekend, 2021: Top DraftKings, FanDuel daily Fantasy football picks, stacks.
SportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings, gives optimal lineup advice.
Who should you target from the four-team NFL DFS player pool for daily Fantasy football tournaments, 50-50s, and cash games on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel? Before making any NFL DFS picks and NFL DFS stacks for Sunday's Championship Round games, be sure to see the latest NFL DFS advice, player rankings, stacks and top daily Fantasy football picks from SportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro who has won almost $2 million.
McClure crushed his NFL DFS picks in 2019, finishing as high as the top 1 percent of tournaments on DraftKings and returning as much as 40x return in some higher-stakes tournaments. He then continued his roll in the postseason, cashing on every single lineup he posted for the divisional round. Anyone who followed him saw some huge returns.
In the Divisional Round, McClure had Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce as one of his top NFL DFS picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings. The result: Kelce caught eight passes for 109 yards and a touchdown, returning almost 28 Fantasy points on both sites. Anybody who had him in their lineups was well on the way to a profitable day.
Now, McClure has turned his attention to Sunday's Championship Round games and locked in his top daily Fantasy football picks. You can only see them by heading to SportsLine.
Top NFL DFS picks for Sunday's 2021 Championship Round.
One of McClure's top NFL DFS picks for Sunday's Championship Round games is Packers wide receiver Davante Adams at $8,000 on DraftKings and $8,900 on FanDuel. The seven-year veteran from Fresno State led the NFL with 18 touchdown receptions, tied for second with 115 receptions, and tied for fifth with 1,374 receiving yards.
Adams overcame a difficult matchup against Rams defensive back Jalen Ramsey last week to reel in nine receptions on 10 targets for 66 yards and a touchdown.
Adams turned in his second 1,300-yard season in three years, nearly equaling his 111-catch, 1,386-yard effort in 2018 that also yielded 13 touchdowns. He's had five touchdowns in his last three games and can help anchor your NFL DFS stacks on Sunday.
Part of McClure's optimal NFL DFS strategy also includes rostering Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs at $7,000 on DraftKings and $8,300 on FanDuel. He led the NFL with 127 receptions during the regular season and also totaled an NFL-best 1,535 yards along with eight touchdowns. He has caught 14 of 20 targets in two postseason games for 234 yards and two scores.
Diggs was acquired via trade from Minnesota during the offseason. He quickly meshed with Bills quarterback Josh Allen and smashed his career-high for receptions and receiving yards. He has a sky-high ceiling in Sunday's Chiefs vs. Bills game.
How to set NFL DFS lineups for Sunday's Championship Round.
McClure is also targeting a player who could go off for massive numbers on Sunday because of a dream matchup. This pick could be the difference between winning your tournaments and cash games or going home with nothing. You can only see who it is here.
So who is DFS pro Mike McClure putting in his optimal NFL DFS lineups for Sunday's Championship Round? Visit SportsLine now to see optimal NFL DFS picks, rankings, advice, and stacks, all from a professional DFS player who has almost $2 million in career winnings, and find out.


2021 NFL Playoff Challenge Fantasy football rankings, best picks: Start Alvin Kamara in Wild Card Round.
SportsLine's Mike McClure has revealed his lineups for the NFL Playoff Challenge.
Finalizing your NFL Playoff Challenge lineups means choosing between stars like Derrick Henry who will play on Wild Card Weekend, and stars who earned a bye like Patrick Mahomes. The longer a player remains in your NFL Playoff Challenge lineups, the more points they'll score, so it could pay to roster Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams, or Tyreek Hill on Wild Card Weekend even though they won't generate any points.
Which players should be part of your NFL Playoff Challenge strategy this week? And which stars will crush your NFL Playoff Challenge picks? Before setting any 2021 NFL Playoff Challenge lineups, be sure to see the picks and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro who has won almost $2 million.
McClure uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every snap of NFL action in every game 10,000 times, taking factors such as matchups, statistical trends and injuries into account. This allows him to find the best values that he shares only with members at SportsLine.
He absolutely crushed his DFS picks during the the 2019 NFL regular season, finishing as high as the top 1 percent of tournaments on DraftKings and returning as much as 40x return in some higher-stakes tournaments. He then continued his roll in the postseason, cashing on every single lineup he posted for the divisional round. Anyone who has been following him has seen some huge returns.
Now he's turned his attention to the 2021 NFL Playoff Challenge. Go here to see his full Wild Card Round lineups.
Top NFL Playoff Challenge picks for the 2021 Wild Card Round.
One of McClure's top NFL Playoff Challenge picks for the 2021 Wild Card Round: Saints running back Alvin Kamara. Along with teammate Taysom Hill, Kamara is a multi-threat player who can score any time he touches the ball. Despite missing Week 17 due to COVID-19, Kamara finished with 932 yards and 16 touchdowns, both career-highs, and caught 83 passes for 756 yards and five more scores.
Not only is Kamara a valuable asset during Wild Card Weekend against the Bears, but he would receive a 2x multiplier next week if he remains in your NFL Playoff Challenge lineup. Kamara is expected to return to the lineup on Sunday, his first available day back from the reserve/COVID-19 list. Lock him into your NFL Playoff Challenge lineups this week and reap the benefits until the Saints are knocked out.
How to build 2021 NFL Playoff Challenge lineups.
McClure is also targeting a pick that could go off for big numbers Wild Card Weekend because of a dream matchup. This pick could be the difference between winning your NFL Playoff Challenge or going home with nothing. You can see who it is over at SportsLine.




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Posted by: FabioIneks - 02-07-2021, 07:44 PM - Forum: My Forum - No Replies

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п»їNFL Picks & Predictions.
Get into the NFL action with Sports Picks and Parlays. Our NFL Free Picks and Predictions, and Expert Picks for every NFL game, will take you from the very first preseason game all the way to the Super Bowl. Our writers give the most in-depth analysis and insight around, making Picks and Parlays the top stop for winning sports picks in the NFL.
NFL Divisional Round - Rapid Fire Picks - NFL Betting Picks & Predictions.
NFL Divisional Round games are here and we have all your betting needs covered. Picks & Parlays experts Chelsa Messinger and Craig Trapp take the Rapid Fire approach to provide insight on multiple games coming this NFL weekend.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs - Sunday 2/7/21 - NFL Picks & Predictions.
Super Bowl 55 is here and we have all your betting needs covered.


Pick six NFL game winners on Fox's free Super 6 contest to win $1 million.
The Fox Super 6 jackpot rolls over into Week 10 of the NFL season.
Cleveland Browns player tests positive for coronavirus.
Coronavirus continues to impact the NFL as the Cleveland Browns temporarily closed their facility after a player tests positive; FOX Sports NFL reporter Jen Hale on the latest.
Fox Bet Super 6 is offering Terry Bradshaw's million dollars after it went unclaimed for a fourth week in a row.
The Fox Super 6 jackpot rolls over into Week 10 of the National Football League season. All you have to do is download the Fox Super 6 app and pick the winner and the margins of victory of the six games listed.
Get them all right and you will take home part of the grand prize jackpot of $1 million. (The jackpot will be split among all those who get every game and margin of victory correct.)
Fox Sports NFL reporter Jen Hale previewed the big games on "Fox & Friends Weekend."
Hale's picks for Sunday include the Seattle Seahawks by five over the Los Angeles Rams, New Orleans Saints by 14 over the San Francisco 49ers, and the Green Bay Packers by 12 over the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Even if nobody correctly picks the winner and margin for all six games, those who come the closest will be eligible for the $10,000 guaranteed prize, which will be handed out.
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$500 Free-to-play Super Bowl pick ’em Contest!
Scroll down to learn more!
How Does It Work?
After you’ve logged on click on the “Play” button and select the teams that you think will be winning that week.
Welcome to the WSN NFL Pick ’em Contest, where we’ve been offering the chance to win a $200 Amazon vouchers every week of the NFL season! Now it is the Super Bowl and the prize value has been raised to $500! It is easy to play, once you make an account you choose which team you think will win and by which margin!
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Welcome to the Pickwatch 2020 Supercontest, where we're paying out our biggest EVER prize pool of $10,000 over the course of this season!
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Make at least 8 NFL straight up and ATS picks each week of the season.
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NFL fans still can’t believe the Packers wasted a pick on Jordan Love.
NFL fans continue to react to the insanity of the Packers using a first-round pick on Jordan Love in 2020.
The Green Bay Packers look nearly unstoppable and are back in the NFC Championship Game after taking down the Los Angeles Rams Saturday evening.
Fans react in ongoing disbelief over the Love selection.
The Packers could have taken a wide receiver or literally anyone who was ready to contribute to the team in 2020. Instead, they saw Love as a player they just couldn’t pass up and put Rodgers’ time in Green Bay on the clock. Naturally, he went out and had the best season of anyone in the NFL.
Imagine if the Packers had drafted Tee Higgins or Laviska Shenault or Michael Pittman Jr. or KJ Hamler or Chase Claypool instead of Jordan Love lol Sheesh — Jedi Master Mario Vetanze (@MileHighMario) January 16, 2021.
Rodgers now has the Packers back in the NFC title game for the second straight season and is showing no signs of slowing down at the age of 37. He threw for 296 yards and two touchdowns Saturday in the win over the Rams and even ran for a score as well.
I think Jordan Love may be the greatest draft pick in Packers history! Rodgers is on another level again! #litafire #pissedhimoff — Kyle Salyards (@Salyards13) January 17, 2021.
If the Packers win the Super Bowl I think that makes Jordan Love the greatest draft pick of all time. — Haakon Meland (@HaakonMeland14) January 17, 2021.
There is the argument to make that the Packers took Love and are still fighting for a Super Bowl, so his selection didn’t tank the season. However, there will be plenty of other quarterbacks to take in the coming years if Rodgers can continue to look great for 3-5 more years.
The Packers WR corps dropping passes really hammers home what a great pick Jordan Love was in the first round. You simply must have a backup for your MVP quarterback during playoff time. — Robert Wilson 🏈 (@TheFFGator) January 16, 2021.
So if the Packers win the Super Bowl, do they trade Aaron Rodgers or sit a first-round pick (Jordan Love) for the second straight year? — Jeff Schultz (@JeffSchultzATL) January 16, 2021.
Next up for Rodgers is a showdown against either Tom Brady or Drew Brees with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line. Players like Love may be ready to play, but the old guard at quarterback in the NFC are out to prove they aren’t done yet.


Jordan Dajani.
2021 Super Bowl Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Kickoff, postseason bracket, playoff results, TV channel and more.
With Super Bowl LV nearly here, let's take a look at all the information you need to know.
Tom Brady told Buccaneers to stop crying after NFC Championship game because there was still work to do.
Tampa Bay's players are still getting used to the kind of expectations Brady has.
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Super Bowl 2021: Three X factors for Buccaneers to take down Chiefs in Super Bowl LV.
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CBS NFL writer Jordan Dajani gives his pick for Super Bowl LV.
Washington Football Team executives want to be 'smart and aggressive' in finding a new quarterback.
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Packers' Jordan Love pick 'the most ridiculous thing,' former coach says.
Jordan Love played college football at Utah State and now he's the heir to the throne in Green Bay.
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Former NFL coach Rex Ryan said Sunday he was not a fan of the Green Bay Packers selecting Jordan Love as the No. 26 pick of the draft with Aaron Rodgers still the starting quarterback.
Ryan, who is now an NFL analyst on ESPN, said on “Sunday NFL Countdown” that the pick was “ridiculous.”
“The most ridiculous thing I’ve seen in the 50 years I’ve watched the draft,” the former New York Jets head coach said, according to The Spun.
Rodgers opened up about the Love pick in July on NFL Network host Kyle Brandt’s podcast.
“When they traded up, I definitely perked up a little bit,” Rodgers said. “And then I got a text – because everything is so delayed. I got a text from my agent, my marketing agent, who I love, and he just texted ‘quarterback.’ I was like, ‘Oh, wow. OK.’”
Green Bay Packers' Jordan Love watches Aaron Rodgers throw during NFL football practice Friday, Sept. 4, 2020, in Green Bay, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
The Packers quarterback said he mixed in some tequila with his scotch drinking.
“I love scotch, but I’ve been drinking some sipping tequila as well,” he said. “Once I got that text I went to the pantry, I poured myself about four fingers, and I knew it was going to be one of those nights where people were going to start calling and there was going to be the, ‘Hey, is everything fine? You OK?’ ‘Yeah, I’m fine.’
“Like I said, I wasn’t elated by the pick, especially being one game away from the Super Bowl and feeling like we’re a couple players away, but at the same time I understand it’s a business. I know the reality.”
Rodgers led the Packers to a 13-3 season and an NFC Championship game appearance. He threw for 4,002 yards and 26 touchdown passes. It still appears he has more left in the tank.


Why Green Bay’s selection of Utah State quarterback Jordan Love is seen as a controversial move.
“Outside opinions don’t really matter to me,” Jordan Love said of any detractors, hours after he was taken with the 26th overall pick by the Packers in the 2020 NFL draft.
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In this still image from video provided by the NFL, Jordan Love listens on his headphones during the NFL football draft Thursday, April 23, 2020, in Bakersfield, Calif. Love was drafted by the Green Bay Packers during the first round, a move that has been met by skepticism around the NFL. NFL via Associated Press.
SALT LAKE CITY — Jordan Love understands there will be some negative responses from Green Bay fans and people around the NFL after the Packers traded up late Thursday night to snag the former Utah State quarterback with the No. 26 pick in the 2020 NFL draft’s first round.
After all, the Packers are well-set at the quarterback position with two-time NFL MVP, Super Bowl champ and eight-time Pro Bowler Aaron Rodgers leading the Green Bay offense.
“Obviously they know what they’re doing with the Packers and (they) took a chance on me. For the most part, I’m just coming in, ready to work. Outside opinions don’t really matter to me,” Love said during a media conference call just hours after his selection.
It’s a “long-term decision,” Packers general manager Brian Gutekunst explained during a media conference call late Thursday.
“This was not something we set out to do,” he said. “He just happened to be a guy we liked who fell to us, and this was the best decision.”
Green Bay originally had the No. 30 selection before trading up four spots with Miami to snag Love, who will sign a reported four-year, $12.3 million contract, with $8.34 million paid out over the next two seasons, according to Spotrac.
‘It’s all excitement right now’ for Utah State’s Jordan Love after Packers select him in 2020 NFL draft’s first round.
How social media reacted to Green Bay selecting Utah State’s Jordan Love with the No. 26 overall pick in 2020 NFL draft.
Rodgers went through a similar situation 15 years ago, sliding down the first round of the draft before the Packers took him at No. 24 in the 2005 draft. He developed behind another superstar quarterback, Brett Favre, for three years before taking over as the Packers’ starter, and it’s been Rodgers’s team ever since.
Green Bay has reached the postseason nine times since Rodgers took over at quarterback, including winning Super Bowl XLV and advancing to the NFC conference championship game last season.
Love was the first skill position player the Packers used a first-round pick on in 15 years, since they did the same with Rodgers.
“Aaron’s been around a long time and knows what we’re playing for right now,” Gutekunst said. “We have the best quarterback in the National Football League and we plan to have him for a while competing for championships.
“I think he’ll be a pro’s pro. He’s playing for legacy-type things, historic-type stuff. I know he’s very, very motivated.”
How did the rest of the NFL world judge the move? It’s been controversial. Part of that is because the Packers are in win-now mode, with Rodgers at age 36, and some have questioned whether the Packers should have drafted another offensive weapon for Rodgers with what’s seen as a deep wide receiver class.
Bleacher Report’s Brad Gagnon said the decision to draft Love could be “crippling” for the Packers organization, criticizing the price Green Bay paid to select the 6-foot-4, 224-pound quarterback.
“On Thursday night, a Green Bay team that fell a win short of the Super Bowl in 2019 and is trying to refuel for another run before the current championship window slams shut essentially decided that Love was worth both a first- and a fourth-round pick,” Gagnon wrote, while noting the Packers’ need to add wide receiver weapons beyond Davante Adams. “Now, a Packers team that was quiet in free agency is suffering from a severe lack of capital entering Day 2 of a draft that is loaded with talent at the receiver position.”
USA Today’s Mike Jones said Green Bay must take advantage of its remaining picks to find value at the wide receiver and tight positions.
“The Packers obviously won’t find out just how smart of a move this Love selection was until several years from now. But this move does put more pressure on team brass for the remainder of this draft,” he wrote.
And while the similarities in Rodgers’ and Love’s draft-night stories were a topic of conversation, CBS Sports’ Jason La Canfora cautioned about labeling Love the next Rodgers.
“Newsflash: You have to be lucky and good to have a talent like Rodgers fall in your lap. The odds of it happening twice, and of any QB in this draft be as good as Rodgers — much less of Love being ever as good as Rodgers — are microscopic,” La Canfora wrote.
The Ringer’s Riley McAtee said the move to draft Love puts a clock on Rodgers’s time in Green Bay.
“The Packers have some time to try to sort out all of Love’s issues. Rodgers’s contract runs through 2023, and because of his massive deal, the soonest the Packers could move on from their future Hall of Fame quarterback is 2022,” McAtee wrote. “. But just like Favre’s ultimate parting with the Packers, a divorce with Rodgers could get ugly.”
That’s not to say the selection didn’t have its supporters.
ESPN’s Rob Demovsky opined that perhaps drafting a successor could light a fire under Rodgers and help extend Love’s career.
“If he can handle sitting — and he said Thursday night that he’s ‘going to take that time to be able to learn and grow as a player’ — then it could extend Love’s career on the back end,” Demovsky wrote. “He would save the wear and tear on his body early much like Rodgers did. He not only has the chance to learn from Rodgers but should benefit from a quarterback-driven head coach in (Matt) LaFleur, much like what Rodgers had with Mike McCarthy.”
Former Utah wide receiver Steve Smith Sr., who played 16 seasons in the NFL for Carolina and Baltimore and now works in sports broadcasting, preached patience for those questioning not just the long-term viability of the pick, but its short-term impact as well.
“They’re going to be able to give Aaron Rodgers more help,” Smith said during NFL Total Access, adding that “in the second and third round, teams are going to be wheeling and dealing to move up and get the guys that they really want.”
Smith also discussed the fact Love had three different offensive coordinators during his time in Logan, while emphasizing the quarterback will benefit from tutelage that can only be found at the pro level.
“Why not settle in with the gunslinger himself in Aaron Rodgers. He can learn so much by just watching. Aaron doesn’t have to speak with him. He can learn and absorb how he works. … I really think this is a positive thing for the Green Bay Packers moving forward,” Smith said.
Love, for his part, sounds ready to tune out the noise and start learning from a future Hall of Famer, even if it’s a process impacted right now by the novel coronavirus pandemic.
“Being able to be in Green Bay and be behind Aaron Rodgers, that’s one of the guys I grew up watching, learned how to do it from him,” Love said. “I would say that this is a really good situation to be in, not being thrown out there. I’m behind one of the great quarterbacks in the league. So just being able to sit behind him and learn, what’s better than that?”


2020 NFL Draft: Colts Select Linebacker Jordan Glasgow With 213th-Overall Pick.
The Indianapolis Colts today selected Michigan linebacker Jordan Glasgow with their sixth-round (213th-overall) pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.
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INDIANAPOLIS — The Indianapolis Colts today selected Michigan linebacker Jordan Glasgow with their sixth-round (213th-overall) pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.
Glasgow, who turns 24 in June, stands at 6-foot-1 and weighs 226 pounds. The Aurora, Ill., native took over a starting job at linebacker as a redshirt senior in 2019, finishing with 89 total tackles (seven for a loss) with five sacks, two passes defensed, as well as a blocked kick.
Glasgow got on the radar with the Wolverines due to his special teams prowess. He earned Michigan's Special Teams Player of the Year award as a redshirt sophomore after finishing with 11 special teams stops; he had 12 special teams tackles as a redshirt freshman. As a junior in 2018, Glasgow started getting increased action on defense, and finished with 28 tackles (three for a loss) and two sacks.
"He uses his hands effectively to help elude or unglue from blockers and he's a card-carrying special teams ace," Zierlein writes.
Glasgow — whose brothers, Ryan (Cincinnati Bengals) and Graham (Denver Broncos) are also NFL players — adds his talents to a deep linebacker room for the Colts, and joins starters Darius Leonard, Anthony Walker and Bobby Okereke, as well as Matthew Adams, Zaire Franklin and Skai Moore.
As of now, Glasgow's selection is the Colts' final pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.




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